Statistics Profile

Missouri Douglas

2003

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2511	1894 - 3127	2511	2718
Foil	Direct elimination	2820	1676 - 3963	2820	2820
Saber	Pool	2357	1450 - 3263	2357	3250
Saber	Direct elimination	2639	1425 - 3852	2639	3069

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.