Statistics Profile

Olivia Brown

2007

Stoccata Fencing Academy & Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1922	991 - 2852	1922	1922
Foil	Direct elimination	1931	549 - 3312	1931	1931
Saber	Pool	2144	1965 - 2322	2114	3618
Saber	Direct elimination	2432	2204 - 2659	2369	3569

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.