Statistics Profile

Jeremy Diepstra

2008

Bay Regional Fencing Alliance

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2242	1819 - 2664	2000	2276
Épée	Direct elimination	2457	1758 - 3155	1848	2457
Foil	Pool	1884	1708 - 2059	1351	2010
Foil	Direct elimination	2194	2007 - 2380	1399	2314
Saber	Pool	1864	1457 - 2270	1864	1864
Saber	Direct elimination	3259	2536 - 3981	3259	3259

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.