Statistics Profile

Joshua Kwasnik

2006

Xavier University Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	868	80 - 1655	868	868
Épée	Direct elimination	1513	336 - 2689	1513	1513
Foil	Pool	1118	563 - 1672	1118	1118
Foil	Direct elimination	1522	581 - 2462	1522	1522
Saber	Pool	1499	767 - 2230	1499	1499
Saber	Direct elimination	1917	820 - 3013	1917	1917

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.