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Statistics Profile

Matthew Chufong-Sprague

2006
Denver Fencing Center
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1649 872 - 2425 1649 1649
Épée Direct elimination 1931 549 - 3312 1931 1931
Foil Pool 1868 1663 - 2072 1775 2497
Foil Direct elimination 2181 1837 - 2524 1644 2379
Saber Pool 1542 616 - 2467 1542 1542
Saber Direct elimination 2012 910 - 3113 2012 2012

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.