Statistics Profile

Ava Wiksten

2010

Orlando Fencing Club Winter Garden Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	739	168 - 1309	739	739
Épée	Direct elimination	1672	478 - 2865	1672	1672
Foil	Pool	872	341 - 1402	714	1137
Foil	Direct elimination	1322	313 - 2330	1322	1806

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.