Statistics Profile

Grace Wang

2001

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1964	1628 - 2299	1961	2494
Épée	Direct elimination	2520	1824 - 3215	1906	2520
Foil	Pool	1298	266 - 2329	1298	1298
Foil	Direct elimination	2114	1041 - 3186	2114	2114

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.