Statistics Profile

Blue Ammon

2004

Birmingham Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2031	1724 - 2337	2031	2204
Épée	Direct elimination	1792	924 - 2659	1792	2079
Foil	Pool	1906	1716 - 2095	1344	1907
Foil	Direct elimination	2105	1837 - 2372	1599	2262

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.