Statistics Profile

noah evans

2006

Team Touche Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2162	1980 - 2343	1884	2269
Épée	Direct elimination	1971	1570 - 2371	1680	2271
Foil	Pool	1416	1067 - 1764	1416	1673
Foil	Direct elimination	1393	449 - 2336	1393	1495

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.