Statistics Profile

Theodore Williams (TED)

1955

Cyranos Place

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1841	968 - 2713	1841	1841
Épée	Direct elimination	1908	647 - 3168	1908	1908
Foil	Pool	1262	987 - 1536	1262	2548
Foil	Direct elimination	1873	1354 - 2391	1578	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.