Statistics Profile

Sophia Woody

2002

The Citadel Fencing Team

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1843	1386 - 2299	1624	1843
Saber	Pool	1519	1131 - 1906	1499	1882
Saber	Direct elimination	2361	1271 - 3450	2006	2361

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.