Statistics Profile

Ian Waid

2007

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1581	1344 - 1817	1502	1859
Épée	Direct elimination	2042	1578 - 2505	1480	2042
Foil	Pool	1082	777 - 1386	831	1136
Foil	Direct elimination	1324	799 - 1848	1324	1847

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.