Statistics Profile

Christian McGuire

2007

Stoccata Fencing Academy & Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2156	1844 - 2467	2156	2862
Foil	Direct elimination	2132	1422 - 2841	1939	2346
Saber	Pool	2387	2192 - 2581	2163	2593
Saber	Direct elimination	2847	2658 - 3035	1975	2905

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.