Statistics Profile

Sue Medrano

1960

West Berkeley Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1917	1106 - 2727	1917	1917
Foil	Pool	1381	1018 - 1743	1381	2358
Foil	Direct elimination	1829	1251 - 2406	1805	2247

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.