Statistics Profile

Andrew Herbener

1992

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1859	1560 - 2157	1676	2048
Épée	Direct elimination	2181	1713 - 2648	2118	2406
Foil	Pool	2067	1129 - 3004	2067	2067
Foil	Direct elimination	1771	723 - 2818	1771	1771

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.