Statistics Profile

Lefu Chen

2005

New York Athletic Club Allegro Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2928	2752 - 3103	2868	3476
Épée	Direct elimination	3369	3194 - 3543	2120	3602
Foil	Pool	2541	2199 - 2882	2320	2677
Foil	Direct elimination	2451	1714 - 3187	1864	2451

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.