Statistics Profile

Alan Uthoff

1979

Round Rock Fencing Club, LLC

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1880	1153 - 2606	1880	1880
Épée	Direct elimination	2067	750 - 3383	2067	2067
Foil	Pool	1697	1159 - 2234	1555	1697
Foil	Direct elimination	1307	328 - 2285	1307	1582
Saber	Pool	1928	1265 - 2590	1928	3317
Saber	Direct elimination	1972	1155 - 2788	1972	2354

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.