Statistics Profile

Jeremiah Liu

2008

LEO Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1907	1742 - 2071	1041	2037
Épée	Direct elimination	1959	1785 - 2132	773	1976
Foil	Pool	1096	847 - 1344	1096	1578
Foil	Direct elimination	1189	677 - 1700	1189	2346

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.