Statistics Profile

Timothy Xu (Tingwei)

2002

Alliance Fencing Academy True Focus Sports Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3210	3025 - 3394	3202	3687
Épée	Direct elimination	3561	3302 - 3819	3202	3933
Foil	Pool	2798	2130 - 3465	2798	2798
Foil	Direct elimination	2274	844 - 3703	2274	2274

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.