Statistics Profile

Isaiah McKinney

1996

Olde Town Fencing Club Blue Ridge Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3200	2131 - 4268	3200	3200
Épée	Direct elimination	2161	727 - 3594	2161	2161
Foil	Pool	2306	2053 - 2558	2306	3135
Foil	Direct elimination	2391	1996 - 2785	2053	2622

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.