Statistics Profile

Mercedes DeMoss

1998

Purdue Fencing Club-Purdue Univ.

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3052	2210 - 3893	3052	3052
Épée	Direct elimination	2074	971 - 3176	2074	2074
Foil	Pool	1418	1190 - 1645	1416	2323
Foil	Direct elimination	1647	1110 - 2183	1624	2042

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.