Statistics Profile

Spencer Heim

2002

Ataba Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1618	1096 - 2139	1618	1842
Épée	Direct elimination	1716	879 - 2552	1716	1885
Foil	Pool	1760	1084 - 2435	1499	1760
Foil	Direct elimination	1445	434 - 2455	1445	1767

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.