Statistics Profile

Ava Beaver

2010

Olympic Epee Masters

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2252	2080 - 2423	2191	2706
Épée	Direct elimination	2650	2480 - 2819	2265	2743
Foil	Pool	1990	1818 - 2161	1713	2214
Foil	Direct elimination	2321	2152 - 2489	1728	2452
Saber	Pool	903	225 - 1580	903	903
Saber	Direct elimination	1749	545 - 2952	1749	1749

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.