Statistics Profile

Jade Harris

2006

Harvard-Westlake High School Wolverines Avant Garde Fencers Club, Inc (CA) (AGFC)

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Saber	Pool	2178	1814 - 2541	2154	2815
Saber	Direct elimination	2252	1683 - 2820	2252	3446

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.