Statistics Profile

Owen Roberts

2003

Hollywood Fencing Studio

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2055	1368 - 2741	2055	2055
Épée	Direct elimination	2045	998 - 3091	2045	2045
Saber	Pool	1792	1067 - 2516	1792	1792
Saber	Direct elimination	1929	554 - 3303	1929	1929

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.