Statistics Profile

Grace Paolino

2005

Cambridge Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1790	1254 - 2325	1743	1790
Épée	Direct elimination	1830	611 - 3048	1830	2079
Foil	Pool	1141	512 - 1769	1141	1498
Foil	Direct elimination	1514	468 - 2559	1514	2079
Saber	Pool	1560	946 - 2173	1560	1560

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.