Statistics Profile

Audrey Paolino

2007

Cambridge Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1531	1123 - 1938	1531	2404
Foil	Direct elimination	2240	1439 - 3040	2022	2244
Saber	Pool	1595	1103 - 2086	1595	2012
Saber	Direct elimination	2387	1268 - 3505	2387	2387

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.