Statistics Profile

Luca Loftus

2008

Maximum Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1972	1798 - 2145	1758	2469
Épée	Direct elimination	2188	1939 - 2436	2054	2437
Foil	Pool	1823	1625 - 2020	1823	2714
Foil	Direct elimination	1929	1529 - 2328	1793	2768

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.