Statistics Profile

Saif Alanazi

2013

Williamson County Fencing Club Murfreesboro Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1483	798 - 2167	1483	1483
Épée	Direct elimination	1735	514 - 2955	1735	1735
Foil	Pool	1199	1029 - 1368	742	1543
Foil	Direct elimination	1711	1496 - 1925	1583	2191

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.