Statistics Profile

Charles Chronister

2000

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2046	1797 - 2294	1474	2140
Épée	Direct elimination	2187	1739 - 2634	2187	2644
Saber	Pool	1614	377 - 2850	1614	1614
Saber	Direct elimination	1923	601 - 3244	1923	1923

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.