Statistics Profile

Paula Smith

1953

Fencing Academy Of Denver

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1175	501 - 1848	1175	2079
Épée	Direct elimination	1517	357 - 2676	1517	1517
Saber	Pool	1434	801 - 2066	1434	2300
Saber	Direct elimination	1981	604 - 3357	1981	1981

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.