Statistics Profile

Justin Yin

2011

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1375	1192 - 1557	1336	2407
Épée	Direct elimination	1761	1454 - 2067	1761	2926
Foil	Pool	984	248 - 1719	984	1274
Foil	Direct elimination	1496	327 - 2664	1496	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.