Statistics Profile

George Cazalet

2006

West Berkeley Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1959	1593 - 2324	1785	2046
Épée	Direct elimination	1841	1034 - 2647	1595	2074
Foil	Pool	1688	1280 - 2095	1688	1819
Foil	Direct elimination	1963	1170 - 2755	1620	2008

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.