Statistics Profile

Jie Zhang

1993

North Shore Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2732	2416 - 3047	2487	2732
Épée	Direct elimination	3196	2793 - 3598	3018	3196
Foil	Pool	1848	1089 - 2606	1848	1848
Foil	Direct elimination	1760	554 - 2965	1760	1760

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.