Statistics Profile

Corlis Hicks

1969

Rochester Youth Fencers

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	644	48 - 1239	644	644
Épée	Direct elimination	1832	532 - 3131	1832	1832
Foil	Pool	629	42 - 1215	629	1390
Foil	Direct elimination	1249	243 - 2254	1249	2079
Saber	Pool	355	0 - 887	355	790
Saber	Direct elimination	1468	449 - 2486	1468	1770

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.