Statistics Profile

Corlis Hicks

1969

Rochester Youth Fencers

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	597	32 - 1161	597	644
Épée	Direct elimination	1276	258 - 2293	1276	1832
Foil	Pool	574	20 - 1127	574	1390
Foil	Direct elimination	1248	244 - 2251	1248	2079
Saber	Pool	223	0 - 677	223	790
Saber	Direct elimination	1303	397 - 2208	1303	1770

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.