Statistics Profile

Jorge Natera Carmona

1998

Texas A&M University Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2009	1715 - 2302	1950	2810
Foil	Direct elimination	2324	1946 - 2701	1653	2533
Saber	Pool	2477	1387 - 3566	2477	2477
Saber	Direct elimination	2752	1669 - 3834	2752	2752

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.