Statistics Profile

Kurt Schmick

1983

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2427	1786 - 3067	2427	2431
Épée	Direct elimination	2388	1413 - 3362	1959	2388
Foil	Pool	2053	1553 - 2552	2053	2826
Foil	Direct elimination	2194	1330 - 3057	2194	2672

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.