Statistics Profile

Tyler da Graca

2008

Cobra Fencing Club LLC

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	800	439 - 1160	660	943
Épée	Direct elimination	1318	652 - 1983	1318	1878
Saber	Pool	1901	1519 - 2282	1901	2741
Saber	Direct elimination	1863	1058 - 2667	1863	2555

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.