Statistics Profile

Rongrui Zhang

2005

Carnegie Mellon University Fencing Club Culver Military Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2207	2027 - 2386	2207	2658
Foil	Direct elimination	2438	2216 - 2659	2422	2841

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.