Statistics Profile

Elijah Jorge

2012

Masters Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1652	778 - 2525	1652	2079
Épée	Direct elimination	2092	1059 - 3124	2092	2092
Foil	Pool	1241	1071 - 1410	1083	2921
Foil	Direct elimination	1628	1440 - 1815	1483	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.