Statistics Profile

Siena Danko

2007

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1529	1311 - 1746	1271	1617
Épée	Direct elimination	1691	1270 - 2111	1393	1845
Foil	Pool	1534	1271 - 1796	1534	2053
Foil	Direct elimination	1536	952 - 2119	1536	1981

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.