Statistics Profile

Mya Hernandez Vega

2008

Denison University Fencing NCAA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1720	1381 - 2058	1720	3227
Foil	Direct elimination	2146	1531 - 2760	2146	2569
Saber	Pool	2358	1691 - 3024	2358	3491
Saber	Direct elimination	1933	1090 - 2775	1933	2696

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.