Statistics Profile

Jason Jiang

2004

Fencers Club Inc.

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2272	1613 - 2930	2272	2272
Épée	Direct elimination	1920	664 - 3175	1920	1920
Foil	Pool	1902	1215 - 2588	1902	1902
Foil	Direct elimination	1982	703 - 3260	1982	1982

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.