Statistics Profile

Michael Kennedy

2007
Des Moines Fencing Club Iowa City Fencing Center
Is this your profile? Register with your USFA ID to claim it.
Claim profile

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Foil Pool 1725 1513 - 1936 1371 1725
Foil Direct elimination 1824 1466 - 2181 1489 2142
Saber Pool 2011 1810 - 2211 1464 2011
Saber Direct elimination 2310 1945 - 2674 1315 2310

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

Register to view this matchup

Create a free account with your USFA number to unlock projected win chances and strength changes.

Create account Log in

Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.