Statistics Profile

Callum Smith

2005

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1185	394 - 1975	1185	1328
Épée	Direct elimination	1730	501 - 2958	1730	1840
Foil	Pool	1065	195 - 1934	1065	1065
Foil	Direct elimination	2316	856 - 3775	2316	2316

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.