Statistics Profile

Sydney Orlofsky

2003

University of Georgia Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1335	655 - 2014	1335	1335
Épée	Direct elimination	1529	358 - 2699	1529	1529
Saber	Pool	2294	2024 - 2563	2265	3234
Saber	Direct elimination	3091	2663 - 3518	2460	3394

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.