Statistics Profile

Brennan Rieck

2007

Omaha Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1950	1770 - 2129	1513	1950
Épée	Direct elimination	2205	1925 - 2484	1504	2331
Foil	Pool	1677	1134 - 2219	1677	1731
Foil	Direct elimination	1838	720 - 2955	1838	2120

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.