Statistics Profile

Traci Sethre

1981

Three Dragons Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1461	1143 - 1778	1132	1862
Épée	Direct elimination	1624	1029 - 2218	1624	2921
Foil	Pool	1736	1559 - 1912	1697	2261
Foil	Direct elimination	2089	1859 - 2318	2089	2693
Saber	Pool	1511	1177 - 1844	1059	1665
Saber	Direct elimination	1652	802 - 2501	1652	1900

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.