Statistics Profile

Tabitha Lawton

2010

Grand Junction Sport Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1723	1218 - 2227	1405	2333
Foil	Direct elimination	1591	787 - 2394	1591	2541
Saber	Pool	1760	837 - 2682	1760	1760
Saber	Direct elimination	2217	789 - 3644	2217	2217

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.