Statistics Profile

Ian Kanar

1993

Plymouth/Ann Arbor Fencing Academy Naples Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2597	2407 - 2786	2486	2769
Épée	Direct elimination	2965	2714 - 3215	2815	3261
Foil	Pool	2295	2079 - 2510	2284	3074
Foil	Direct elimination	2462	2104 - 2819	2462	2812

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.